Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.561308 1.636311 1.713494 1.799002 1.891252 1.987965 2.097265
2026-01-11 1.446248 1.554596 1.670571 1.804533 1.955756 2.122062 2.320016
2026-01-18 1.365472 1.499142 1.647063 1.824245 2.032526 2.271916 2.571326
2026-01-25 1.280382 1.430067 1.600302 1.810525 2.066421 2.372252 2.772470
2026-02-01 1.198617 1.357623 1.542572 1.776884 2.070757 2.434225 2.929723
2026-02-08 1.113685 1.275213 1.466432 1.713660 2.031319 2.435477 3.005844
2026-02-15 1.056111 1.221821 1.421313 1.684359 2.030463 2.483457 3.145796
2026-02-22 1.014471 1.185165 1.393974 1.674581 2.052486 2.561278 3.332635
2026-03-01 0.970851 1.143466 1.357474 1.649731 2.051274 2.605405 3.473122
2026-03-08 0.914275 1.082714 1.293439 1.584371 1.989619 2.558552 3.470099
2026-03-15 0.887700 1.059025 1.276003 1.580086 2.011782 2.632630 3.660466
2026-03-22 0.875239 1.052773 1.280723 1.605641 2.077077 2.774396 3.974814
2026-03-29 0.841064 1.018609 1.249206 1.582638 2.075539 2.822659 4.154372
2026-04-05 0.819828 1.000870 1.239208 1.589746 2.119704 2.947416 4.488718
2026-04-12 0.803592 0.989121 1.236785 1.607547 2.181537 3.107412 4.917169
2026-04-19 0.779098 0.965107 1.216125 1.597204 2.198483 3.194236 5.221416
2026-04-26 0.750937 0.934946 1.185430 1.570002 2.186236 3.229160 5.426662
2026-05-03 0.716886 0.895463 1.139913 1.517971 2.129913 3.180547 5.446140
2026-05-10 0.693480 0.870022 1.113514 1.493828 2.117962 3.210946 5.645692
2026-05-17 0.676349 0.852755 1.098152 1.485813 2.132228 3.290829 5.974351
2026-05-24 0.656611 0.831127 1.075554 1.465193 2.123311 3.325476 6.202068
2026-05-31 0.628286 0.796502 1.032737 1.410668 2.052281 3.233241 6.096765
2026-06-07 0.615683 0.783977 1.022142 1.407107 2.070404 3.318706 6.466993